Impact of Droughts in Ceará: Help Tell This Story

The information collected through the forms below aims to identify and gather evidence on the impacts observed and experienced during drought events within water resource systems, addressing the following aspects:

(i) the impacts suffered during the drought;
(ii) how these impacts were felt across different uses of water;
(iii) the evaluation of the measures and actions implemented;
(iv) the conflicts observed throughout the drought period.

The questions in this survey seek to gather information on the personal perception of drought impacts on the individual, family, and professional lives of the participants.

Your participation is of great importance, as it will help identify and assess the multifaceted impacts of droughts.

THE IMPACT OF CLIMATIC PHENOMENA IN THE STATE OF CEARÁ

Located in the Northeast region of Brazil (NEB), the state of Ceará is characterized by a semi-arid climate, marked by irregular rainfall and a high rate of evapotranspiration. In this region, the rainfall regime is influenced by the displacement of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) to the south, resulting in 70% of the total precipitation expected for the year, concentrated between the months of February and May. In Ceará, the average annual rainfall is approximately 858 mm. The highest values are recorded in the coastal zone, while the lowest values are found in the central area of the state, where the semi-arid landscape is more pronounced. The quality of the rainy season is also influenced by natural variations in sea surface temperature (SST) in both the Pacific Ocean (OP) and the Atlantic Ocean (OA) areas.

Irregular variations in sea surface temperature in the tropical Pacific Ocean during prolonged periods are indicative of El Niño (warming) and La Niña (cooling). This phenomenon is associated with years of either below-average or above-average rainfall in the Brazilian Northeast. The presence of a sea surface temperature gradient in the Tropical Atlantic Ocean, with warmer waters to the north (Positive Gradient - PG) or south (Negative Gradient - NG) of the basin, is related to either above or below average rainfall in the NEB. The figures represent the precipitation behavior over decades, along with the time series of the El Niño 3.4 phenomenon and the SST gradient in the Atlantic.

1950

– Shift in emphasis on actions to deal with
droughts in the Northeast Region
– The focus on reservoirs is reduced and
the idea of economic and social planning for the Drought Polygon, which had been established in the 1930s, is incorporated
– Conference in 1950 at the São Paulo Engineering Institute
– The Cooperation Reservoir Program
emerges as a local interest work
“valuable to the drought combat plan,”
but the type of reservoir built through this
“program tends to create, in the dry land, the
class of water lords”

1951-1953

– Creation of the BNB
– Drought accelerates the process of impoverishment
and exploitation of small farmers
– Works against the drought
– Policy of building reservoirs for living with drought
– Keep the Ceará sertanejo in their land through the provision of work
– Construction and repairs of highways:
– Keep the Ceará sertanejo in their land through the provision of work
– Distribution of foodstuffs (Brazilian Legion of Assistance)
– Intense emigration of the drought victims:
– Capital Route
– Works Route

1958-1959

– Humanitarian crisis and intense population displacement
– Estimated 10 million northeastern refugees
– Severity of the drought surpassing the capacity of the state's infrastructures, revealing the need for improvements and expansion
– Emergence of the term "drought industry," coined by journalist Antônio Callado of Correio da Manhã
– Establishment of the Working Group for the Development of the Northeast (GTDN)
– Creation of the Northeast Development Council (CODENO) to promote regional development and seek "solutions" to the socio-economic inequalities of the Northeast, being a precursor to SUDENE
– Creation of SUDENE to formulate and implement public policies to solve regional disparities issues
– Assistance to society weakened by the drought
– Works against the drought
– Policy of building reservoirs for living with the drought
– Keep the Ceará sertanejo in the rural areas through the provision of work
– Growth of large landowners
– Growth of economic, regional, and social inequalities

1960

– The era of "economic solution" emerges
– In the 1960s, the "Alliance for Progress" Commission arrives in Brazil
– The "search" for solutions to the region's issues would come from abroad, through missions, foreign financial contributions, and international technical assistance

1970

– Implementation of the "açudagem" policy as a strategy
for society's adaptation
– Water storage capacity in the state tripled compared to the 1958 drought
– Emigration of drought victims persists
– Rebellions in search of food and work
– 11% of the population of Ceará emigrated from the state
– Population in the northeastern capitals almost tripled
– Population explosion: unemployment in rural areas, pauperism, and social exclusion of these migrants in the cities
– Despite a decade of actions and public policies, the people of Ceará were still exposed to the drought
– Distribution of seeds, funds, use of water trucks, execution of works, and operational planning (SUDENE)
– The project did not yield definitive results that would neutralize the effects of the drought

1979-1983

– Delay in the Federal Government's response
– Lack of support policies for rural women
– Emigration of drought victims persists: increase in "urban sprawl"
– Migrants leave the countryside to escape suffering (hunger and thirst), but they continue to suffer in cities with unemployment, lack of housing, poor educational institutions, etc.
– Disproportionate growth of slums in large urban centers
– Water rationing in Fortaleza (relieved with the creation of the Pacoti-Riachão system in 1980)
– Rebellions of drought victims: looting of silos and warehouses (example: looting of the Cobal warehouse in Quixeramobim)
– Decline in the number of migrants assisted by the state's emergency plans
– Conflicts between drought victims and local authorities
– Mobilization of water trucks (SUDENE), using water from the reservoirs of the capital of Ceará
– Water rationing in Fortaleza

1993-1994 e 1997-1998

– Decade heavily impacted by the effects of El Niño
– DNOCS (National Department of Works Against Droughts) was abolished in 1995, being re-established in the early 2000s as a special autarchy
– Creation of COGERH (Water Resources Management Company of Ceará) and the beginning of the water allocation process
– Construction of the Canal do Trabalhador (Worker’s Canal)
– Loss of livestock and crops
– 57% of agricultural production in the Northeast was lost
– Estimated damage of 5% of the Northeast's GDP
– Increase in "hunger looting"
– Inclusion of education and training activities, as well as communication tools ("dry hotline")
– Decentralized actions, greater participation and transparency
– Shift from "resistance to drought" to "living with drought": moving away from assistance and aiming for sustainable outcomes
– Major drought (Maciço de Baturité and Quixadá) and the establishment of values for irrigation

2012-2019

– Considerable increase in well drilling (SOHIDRA)
– Construction and installation of cisterns
– Continuation of the water tanker operation
– Anticipation of the macro-negotiated water allocation process of 2013 (drought flow);
– Construction of large inter-basin transfer works (Cinturão das Águas, São Francisco River Integration Project)
– Expansion of works already constructed from the last drought (such as the Canal do Trabalhador) and expanded during the more recent period (such as the Eixão das Águas)
– Loss of livestock and crops
– 176 municipalities declared a state of emergency due to drought in 2013
– Dryland crops (grains and cassava) – Of the 182 municipalities assessed, 166 suffered losses of more than 50%, with 87 of them facing losses greater than 80%
– Intensification of water use conflicts
– More effective income transfer programs
– Farmers who lost their production managed to stay on their land through social programs
– Considerable reduction in the emigration of drought victims
– Improvements in climate forecasting systems and drought monitoring
– Strengthening of research institutions such as Funceme
– Behavioral change of the Ceará countryside residents
– More conscious and rational use of water
– Implementation of the Emergency Water Charge
– Development of the Drought Monitor
– Integrated Drought Combat Committee in Ceará – Contingency Group
– Definition of principles for water allocation
– Increased production of information on the water system and requests for strengthening interinstitutional relations
– Imminent risk of water collapse
– Reduction in the perennialization of river sections
– The real value of milk and dairy production rose from R$ 565.3 million in 2010 to R$ 694 million in 2015

Period 1950 to 1959

Period 1960 to 1969

Period 1970 to 1979

Period 1980 to 1989

Period 1990 to 1999

Period 2000 to 2009

Period 2010 to 2019

Period 2020 to 2023

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